Want to crush ISIS? No way but boots on the ground

I personally believe ISIS will never become a serious and credible state in the world.

They have made it clear that they don’t care much for international diplomacy or law  and that only Sharia can be used to govern their new state.

A fanatical force like this does well at first; they carry out brutal acts, capture swathes of land, steal, murder, rape, perform forced conversions to Islam and run a well oiled recruiting machine but this can only last for a while because sooner or later their resources are depleted and the circus over.

So you wanna crush ISIS? Better act fast and swift… Here’s a short list of their Achilles’ heal.

1. ISIS is militarily overextended and hopelessly ineffective against a trained and well equipped army. Although they’re led by a few savage Chechen’s and some Arab militants who answer to a mysterious bearded man who calls himself “Abu Bakr Al-Bagdadi”, it will take only one crushing defeat to completely demoralize their forces, who so far have only shown their prowess in gunning down heretics (Shia, Ezidi, Christians and some ethnic Turkmen), beheading children and foreigners and stealing some old military equipment left behind by the US and Russia.

2. ISIS is already showing signs of weaknesses as defectors are already coming out of the woodwork in its ranks. So the whole scenario is starting to look more like the disillusioned young fighters who joined ISIS are coming to realize the real horrors of what’s going on, and realizing that mass murder is neither cool nor easy to watch.

3. ISIS has already started to become a victim of their own hatred in the Islamic world on account of calling themselves a caliphate, not only undermining the existing rulers and religious elite, but doing so with violent acts in a public way that is tantamount to bragging. Their philosophy is that by being the rulers of an Islamic caliphate, they are not only ‘holier than thou’ but that all Muslims should join and live under Sharia law. Let’s though face the facts – King Salman;  the new king of  Saudia Arabia – won’t be bending his knee to the self-proclaimed leader of the Caliphate anytime soon despite ISIS claiming that the rest of the Muslim leaders are their vassals; almost de-legitimizing the existing religious collective. Further, although thievery and smuggling are profitable and keep the ISIS war machine moving forward, their only source of wealth is smuggling cheap energy and hostage taking, neither of which is sustainable in the long term. Especially when your key supplies of oil can be hit by a coalition led airstrike at any one point. All in  all, this is not how you establish a state.

4. They have united the world against them, which is really freaking stupid.  Simply put, they took a legitimate cause – namely, Maliki & Co treating Sunni Iraqis like dirt – , had some success recruiting some bigger thugs trough a skilled PR campaign, and basically built their view as a divine endorsement to slaughter anyone who disagrees with them. The results are clear: There is no one left in the world allied to them. Even Iran opposes them because they are genocidal.

US Recommendation toward ISIS. One thing is obvious: if we–America–are going to stop them, it’ll take more than just air strikes and this is not a personal opinion but the one of some very informed defense and intelligence personnel in our military establishment. The jury is out yet as to what to do with them but all options are still on the table as well.

I am afraid our approach to ISIS seems a lot like our approach to Ebola. Contain it and let the disease be treated under quarantine. Well let me tell you, there is no way on Planet Earth that ISIS will be contained this way.

These thugs will not go easy and we already lost a lot of time over the last year going over this again and again.

Postponing things will not make things better or easier but worse; and allying ourselves with Iran to defeat them is even the riskiest proposition of all. People who understand these sorts of things and have done nothing are already regretting it.

I say let’s put some real force on the ground – whether Arab, European or American ones or even all combined; it doesn’t matter – and obliterate the cancer.

The world will not see prosperity again without global security … and this is the best time ever to gain prosperity and avoid a global economic chaos given the repercussions of their actions in the world.

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I'm a Lebanese American physical commodities trader, financier, and author. The President and Chief Executive officer of Blackhawk Partners, Inc., – a “private family office” that supports highly accomplished operating executives in expanding their companies organically through business acquisitions and physical commodities trades (mostly oil derivatives) around the world.